Kennedys Foresight: The 2026 risk landscape

Kennedys Foresight: The 2026 risk landscape, offers informed perspectives to help you make sense of ongoing change and navigate what lies ahead.

Drawing on a series of partner and leadership interviews from across our global network, supported by economic insights, our report examines the global and regional forces shaping our clients’ worlds. From macroeconomic pressures and geopolitical instability to the accelerating impacts of AI, cyber threats, and climate change, our insights will help clients navigate the future with clarity and confidence.

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Regional priorities

Each of our five territories has its own risk profiles and market dynamics. However, the commonalities are also striking. With summaries from our Regional Managing Partners, the report draws from Kennedys' on-the-ground expertise across APAC, EMEA, the UK, the US, and LatAm spotlighting what’s most relevant to your local market.

Key themes

Geopolitical, environmental, economic and technological dynamics continue to shape the global risk landscape, with these risk factors becoming increasingly interconnected.

As we look to 2026 and beyond, we see a concentration of risk and commonality around five core themes.  None of our core trends are specific to one territory and are impacting the global landscape for insurers. 

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Artificial intelligence

From claims handling, to risk modelling, to the prospect of the first ‘machine-reasoned’ arbitrations, the applications for AI are seemingly limitless. However, coming to terms with the risks that AI also encompasses is just as important as its skilful and innovative deployment.

Climate change

Natural catastrophe claims are expected to remain a persistent and unfortunate challenge, given their continued and unavoidable occurrence. The resulting business interruption and impacts on the wider population, mean that insurers and reinsurers are now reassessing their exposure in many markets.

Cyber threats

The cyber threat landscape is set for rapid and unsettling developments. There is an increasing web of global legislation and regulatory frameworks around cyber and data privacy. Cyber-attacks also intersect with geopolitics, with nation states engaging in significant malicious acts over recent years.

Geopolitical uncertainty

2026 is already shaping up to be a challenging year globally. Geopolitical uncertainty continues to affect regions and industries worldwide, with ongoing tensions keeping political risk a key consideration for underwriters.

Social inflation

Driven by growing anti-corporate sentiment, mounting cost of living crises and mirroring US-style class actions, social inflation is a trend expected to take root in 2026. The world does not lack for issues to turn into mass tort cases. PFAS or forever chemicals, microplastics, weight-loss drugs and even social media - all of them have the potential to test existing legislative norms and expand liability and cost.

Emeritus Professor Joe Nellis CBE

The next five years could bring more changes in business than in the last 50. 

Actions and recommendations

Navigating an interconnected global risk landscape is increasingly complex. As regulatory activity continues to intensify, greater focus is being placed on business resilience, making effective information gathering and sharing more important than ever.

Our full report outlines region-specific advisory insights, alongside thematic takeaways from our partners, who serve as trusted advisers to clients worldwide. By understanding both existing and emerging risks, insurers can not only navigate this challenging environment but also support their clients in achieving sustainable success.

Kennedys Foresight: The 2026 risk landscape

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Kennedys Partners talk to the media about what lies ahead for 2026

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When AI quietly goes wrong

Nicholas Blackmore talks to Insurance Business on why 'silent AI' is the next big insurance shock.
Insurance Business
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The year AI becomes a new risk and enabler

Cathy Goodman features in Emerging Risks' 'The Big Risks for '26'
Emerging Risks article
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The cyber landscape in 2026 a blueprint for the future?

Tom Pelham and Arran Roberts feature in Emerging Risks' 'The Big Risks for '26'.
Read Emerging Risks
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FCA Expected To Boost Fines, Name More Companies In 2026

Iskander Fernandez speaks to Law360 about challenges to FCA enforcement.
View Law360 article
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2026 Could Bring US-Driven PE Investment In Law

Senior Partner John Bruce speaks to Law360 on private equity investment in law firms.
Law360 article
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Car Loans, AI, Crypto Top UK's 2026 Consumer Protection List

Nicola Pangbourne speaks to Law360 on consumer protection and other regulatory areas.
Read on Law360
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Litigation Risks Top Challenges Faced By UK Insurers In 2026

Ben Aram, Laura Madders and Tobin Ashby all feature in Law360's piece on litigation risks for UK insurers.
Law360 article
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Mental-health injury claims in Hong Kong

Wilson Tam speaks to Asia Insurance Review about why insurers must prepare for multi-policy exposure.
Asia Insurance Review
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UK Legal Sector Braces For M&A Surge, AI Boom In 2026

Senior Partner John Bruce speaks to Law360.
Read Law360 article
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Claims and Legal Forecast of 2026

Senior Partner John Bruce speaks to Post Online about the claims and legal sectors in 2026.
Post Online article
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Employment law: what to expect in 2026

Matthew Leake talks to People Management about trade union changes and increased collective redundancy protective award in 2026.
People Management article
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Tax crackdown in 2026: Why experts predict a wave of enforcement actions

Andy Brown, global head of tax disputes, speaks to City AM about expected increased tax enforcement in the new year.
Read on City AM
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Marine insurance sector faces rising geopolitical and climate-related risks

Chris Chatfield and Shaan Burton talk to Reinsurance News about the volatile risk environment testing the resilience of the global industry.
Read Reinsurance News
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Cyber insurance predicted to become mandatory

Tom Pelham, global head of cyber and data, and partner Arran Roberts predict a myriad of ways cyber threats will evolve.
Read Reinsurance News article
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Optus and Medibank class actions

Partner Nicholas Blackmore speaks to Insurance Business about two data breach class actions that could reprice the market.
Read Insurance Business article
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Global tax disputes predictions for 2026

Andy Brown, Ben Williams and Tom Fennelly outline the key tax disputes trends set to define 2026 for International Tax Review.
International Tax Review: A taxing week
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The forever risk

Partner Laura Madders explores the enduring risks of PFAS for Continuity Insurance & Risk (CIR) Magazine.
CIR Magazine: The forever risk
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Regulatory fragmentation slows growth for Latin American insurers

Michael Hennessy, Kennedys' Latin America managing partner, speaks to Intelligent Insurer.
Read Intelligent Insurer
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Scope of mandatory mediation will ‘inevitably’ expand

Ian Davies speaks with Insurance Post about mandatory mediation in insurance litigation.
Read Insurance Post article